Twilight and Harry Potter have a lot in common. Too much perhaps, which is probably why I’ve never taken to either. Both are hugely popular movie series based on hugely popular book series, the final installment of which will be split into two different films. Both are fantasy adventures aimed at younger audiences with fans that fall into pretty much every movie-going demographic. Both are led by a cast of two guys and a girl.

But here’s where the similarities end: Nine years and six films into the Harry Potter franchise, it’s three principals — Daniel Radcliffe, Rupert Grint and Emma Watson — have yet to become major stars outside of Potter. Neither has Twilight’s lead threesome, set to return June 30 in The Twilight Saga: Eclipse. Unlike the Potter trio, though, people actually know the names Robert Pattinson, Taylor Lautner and Kristen Stewart — whether they’ve seen a Twilight movie or not (thanks, in large part, to endless tabloid coverage).

But years from now, long after Twilight has joined Lord of the Rings in the annals of Hollywood, which of its three leads will have gone on to the biggest and best things.

Will it be Kristen Stewart? Playing Mary Lou in the upcoming Walter Salles-directed adaptation of On the Road is a good career move, but she has the aura of an actress destined — perhaps not entirely unintentionally — for an after-Twilight filmography of supporting roles in interesting but smallish films.

Or Taylor Lautner? He’s surrounded by solid, dependable talent in Abduction, the upcoming thriller directed by John Singleton and costarring Sigourney Weaver, Maria Bello and Alfred Molina. But Lautner seems intent on sticking to the Hollywood mainstream, where box-office pull is the only measure of success, and one big hit — or a massive franchise — doesn’t necessarily mean there will be others.

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